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Health insurers are suddenly coveting sicker patients

Writer's picture: Tex PatientsTex Patients

People who are eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid — a group that is generally low-income with complex health needs — are expected to generate billions in profit for health insurers in the coming years, despite being a group that typically racks up expensive health care bills.


Why it matters: This is part of a major shift in how insurers make their money, with profits increasingly coming from their provision of government plans like Medicare Advantage and Medicaid managed care.


Driving the news: A recent McKinsey report projected that earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization — a measure of profitability — from covering the "dual eligibles" population will see a growth rate of greater than 10% between 2022 and 2027, and profits will grow from $7 billion in 2022 to $12 billion in 2027.

  • "Reimbursement tends to be higher for, in the insurance lingo, the riskier population," said Shahed Al-Haque, a partner at McKinsey. "Because [plans are] getting a higher level of reimbursement and the cost does not necessarily scale at the same level of reimbursement, they're able to achieve profitability."

  • Plans for dual eligibles had some of the highest profit margins among private Medicare Advantage plans in 2021, according to MedPAC.


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Paid for by the Texas Coalition for Patients

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